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Why Choose Pinkerton Crime Index

We deliver timely crime data, granular detail, and seasonal insights two years ahead of other crime reports — so you can make immediate decisions with confidence.

Accurate crime reporting has long been a challenge for policing agencies everywhere. Inconsistent reporting practices have made it difficult to compare crime counts nationwide. Even FBI crime statistics, considered the gold standard in the industry, experience an 18-30-month delay in reporting and only show crime at an aggregated scale.

These inadequacies make crime reporting even more of a challenge. But what if modern data science could fill in the gaps? This opportunity has led Pinkerton, a longstanding forerunner in American security, to develop the Pinkerton Crime Index to provide timely insights into patterns of crime and violence all over the United States and United Kingdom.

Not all crime reports are created equal. The Pinkerton Crime Index accurately forecasts crime — with 95% confidence — based off comprehensive data, our longstanding experience with crime fighting, and frontier algorithms. Our 170+ years of experience, combined with cutting edge data technology, means that the Pinkerton Crime Index is a number you can trust.


Higher degree of data accuracy

We have 95% confidence in our forecast when predicting crime, reflecting our market-leading algorithms.

Insightful analytics

We put scores into context, such as relevant peer group and past trends, so you can generate actionable solutions.

Frontier forecasting

We provide annual, quarterly, or monthly updates to show how seasonality and structural impacts (such as COVID-19) have on changing crime patterns and types.

Neighborhood-level view

We provide state to city to street level views, so you get crime reporting and analysis at both macro and micro-scales.

Broad data sources

We not only rely on federal crime statistics. We utilize criminological theory to identify key predictors and make use of victim and offender surveys to infer crime risk from imperfect crime data.

Customizable solutions

We can pinpoint your locations on the dashboard, integrate your own data, and compare crime risk among locations.

How it works

The Crime Index uses comprehensive data sources and machine learning to help organizations make crucial business decisions with increased confidence. Our proprietary system takes evidence of past crime, together with a wide variety of crime-causing variables to forecast crime and then compare it to the national average of crime-per-person.

With a diverse set of data covering 3,100 counties and seven different crime types, our data scientists perform 20,000 forecasting problems per month. We put our prediction algorithms through a double-elimination tournament to ensure the most precise statistical model is used.

Analyzing a wide variety of granular data reveals deep patterns and trends — allowing us to accurately depict crime risk at the neighborhood level. This tracking and reporting go beyond a static view of crime, helping you gauge the likelihood of crime occurring in your location with one simple number.


Crime reporting is useful for more than just scoping out crime in an area. Crime risk is correlated with property values, school enrollment, and various other municipal outcomes. Here are some other applications where the Pinkerton Crime Index can help you mitigate potential risks.

Determine security needs based on valid and reliable data, so you can prioritize your security budget

Standardize risk and security protocols using assessments that are comparable at neighborhood, county, and state levels — along with similar locations

Meet compliance needs, such as duty of care, regulatory, and insurance requirements

Enhance site risk assessments by basing them on comprehensive data forecasts using an innovative multi-disciplinary methodology

Inform proactive investment decisions — such as real estate — with granular information and online tools that allow for a tailored analysis

Which solution is right for you?

We offer both PDF reports and an interactive dashboard experience. PDF reports are better suited for small to medium scale organizations with set locations, while the dashboard will better serve medium to large organizations with numerous or variable locations.

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Ready to see how the Pinkerton Crime Index solution can work for you company? Fill out the form below to learn more or schedule a demo today.

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Ann Arbor, MI 48104


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